Beyond a Jobless Recovery: A heterodox perspective on 21st century economics

Beyond a Jobless Recovery: A heterodox perspective on 21st century economics
http://knol.google.com/k/paul-d-fernhout/beyond-a-jobless-recovery/38e2u3s23jer/2#

Another person's openPCAST proposal: Microroyalties

RT @ideascale: Improve Innovators- Compensation for their Individual Contributions through Microroyalties - OpenP...
http://pcast.ideascale.com/a/dtd/Improve-Innovators--Compensation-for-their-Individual-Contributions-through-Microroyalties/73242-8319

openPCAST proposal

RT @ideascale: Catalyze Education and Industry in Existential Risk and Global Catastrophic Risk Reduction
http://pcast.ideascale.com/a/dtd/Catalyze-Education-and-Industry-in-Existential-Risk-and-Global-Catastrophic-Risk-Reduction/72299-8319

Hunrgy Optimizers with Low Complexity Values

Michael is a genius. Thank evolution there are people like him.

Hunrgy Optimizers with Low Complexity Values
http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/hungry-optimizers-with-low-complexity-values


http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog

(Art) Imagining a near-term superintelligence [Cont'd]

You may notice that I used both the "big five" personality factors and MBTI factors interchangeably though they are different in significant ways I won't go into here.

Below is a summary of the last post which should be easier to survey. Of course the whole model can be reduced as lean as appeared in the first post.



Lean rapid simplified goals

Join
Seek

Win
Care
Study
Serve

Finish
Select


Abstract Meta-Goals

Aspirational Consideration
Divergent Inquiry

Questioning Customary Practices
Existential Volitional Monitoring
Rational Resource Acquisition
Clarifification of Service for Interests

Convergent Standard Development
Vetting Practices and Solutions





Leaders’ Leaders


Collaborative Leadership

Collaborative
Affiliation (FP)

Play
Communing
Camaraderie
Empathy
Sympathy
Affinity
Musing
Profundity
Imaginative Potential
Considering Aspirations


Creative Leadership

Creative
Initiative (P)

Non-conformance
Creativity, Curiosity
Entertainment
Presence
Galvanization
Initiative
Metamorphosis
Genius
Sui Generis
Divergent Inquiries



Complementary Combinations



Discovery Leadership/Management

Discovering
Opportunity (TP)

Novelty
Maneuvering
Pragmatics
Improvisation
Utility
Opportunity
Inventiveness
Ingenuity
Applicability Potential
Questioning Customary Practices




Sensitive Leadership/Management

Sensitive
Empowerment (F)

Bonding
Affection, Niceness
Considerateness
Sustenance
Attachment
Empowerment
Interpretation
Sagacity
Coherent Extrapolated Volition
Existential Volitional Monitoring



Calculative Management/Leadership

Calculative
Utilization (T)

Domination
Craftiness, Seriousness
Effectiveness
Implementation
Execution
Utilization
Analysis
Knowledge
Manifold Omniscience
Rational Resource Acquisition



Servant Management/Leadership

Serving
Community (FJ)

Convention
Supportiveness
Contribution
Service
Conservation
Community
Reflection
Apprehension
Responsible Potential
Clarified Service of Interests



Managers’ Managers


Responsible Management

Responsible
Accomplishment

Conformance
Obedience, Imitation
Reliability
Logistics
Provision
Accomplishment
Vision
Prescience
Radical Augmentation
Convergent Standard Development




Controlling Management

Controlling
Operations (TJ)

Drilling
Instruction
Efficacy
Efficiency
Administration
Operations
Research
Foresight
Rational Potential
Vetting Practices and Solutions

(Art) Imagining a near-term superintelligence [Cont'd]

The more detailed the model the more its flaws and shortcomings emerge. Natural language also imposes limits on precision and accuracy. However, my hope is that the model appears fairly systematic and plausible, and therefore informative and interesting.



Evolutionary Ancestor Traits -> Awareness and Behavior

Fish, Amphibians, Reptiles, Mammals, Great Apes, Hominids, Homo sapiens, Modern Humans

Functions/Behaviors
Basis of Expression
Potential Problems


Genetic Ratio Legacies
Wide Dendrite Branching, Large Activation Fields, Mass recruitment of neural networks, Low baseline neuroactivity, Synchronized and robust immediate functioning,
High excitement threshold, High over-stimulation threshold, Low boredom threshold, High endurance of attentional diffusion, Low endurance of attentional specificity,
General approximation, Impromptu Adaptations, Enhanced immediate interactive efforts

Social
Embedded behavior


Play
Engaged, Unstructured Socialization
Unfocused, Dependent

Non-Conforming
Exploration, Novelty-Seeking, Fluid Memory, Dopamine
Inexpert, Accident-prone


Novelty
Experimental Reconfigurations
Mistakes, Manipulation

Bonding
Reciprocated Cooperation, Oxytocin/Vasopressin
Unguarded, Vulnerable

Dominating
Resource Competition, Testosterone
Aggressive, Oppressive

Convention
Fulfilling Customs Expertly
Uncritical, Sacrificing


Conforming
Predictability, Preservation, Fixed Memory, Prolactin
Maladaptative, Rigid

Drilling
Constrained, Structured Skill Practice
Blinkered, Unfriendly


Solitary
Unsociable behavior


Genetic Ratio Legacies
Long Axonal Growth, Distal Connectivity, Constricted recruitment of neural networks, High baseline neuroactivity, Noisy and fragile immediate functioning, Low stimulation threshold, Low over-stimulation threshold, High boredom threshold, High endurance of attentional specificity, Low endurance of attentional diffusion, Narrow iterative strategies, Precise Adjustments, Enhanced efforts in extended isolation



Assisted Contributions -> Expression and Awareness


Dependant Persons (e.g. challenged humans, young children and other animal species with abstract self-awareness)

Functions/Behaviors
Basis of Expression
Plausible Expressions

Extroversion
Outgoing
Loud, Sociable
Demanding style

Leadership

FP
Communing
Fellowship
Careless

P
Curious, Creative
Play, Attention, Inquisitive
Excitable, Messy, Original


TP
Maneuvering
Meeting Wants, Interests
Heedless

F
Affectionate, Nice
Reciprocation, Companions
Dependant, Uncritical

T
Serious, Crafty
Control, Subjects of Interest
Uncooperative, Mischievous

FJ
Supportiveness
Serving Needs, Interests
Overly cautious


J
Obedient, Imitative
Praise, Acceptance, Diligent
Attentive, Neat, Conventional

TJ
Instruction
Explicitness
Painstaking

Management

Introversion
Shy
Quiet, Solitary
Reclusive style



Worldly Contributions -> Action and Expression

Leaders in
Seeks/Shows (to)
Plausible Vulnerabilities

Extroversion
Gregarious Performance
Talent, Technique
Cliquish Manner

Leadership

FP
Camaraderie
Friendship
Misplaced Loyalties

P
Entertainment
Excitement, Pleasure
Immature


TP
Pragmatics
Choice Contrivance
Non-Scalable Ideas

F
Considerateness
Affability, Comfort
Naïve

T
Effectiveness
Opportunity, Ability
Reckless

FJ
Contribution
Pursuing Productivity
Non-Transferable Efforts


J
Reliability
Approval, Belonging
Myopic

TJ
Efficacy
Meticulousness
Misdirected Effort

Management

Introversion
Focused Task Work
Skill, Craftsmanship
Isolated Activity



* Worldly Realization Processes -> Traction and Action *

Leaders in
Seeks/Shows (to)
Plausible Vulnerabilities

Extroversion
Expedient Orchestration
Exercise of Influence
Domineering Demeanor

Leadership
FP
Empathy
Extended Relating
Overly Invested

P
Presence
Freedom, Fun
Pliant

TP
Improvisation
Option Creation
Distracting from Objectives

F
Sustenance
Care, Consideration
Obsequious

T
Implementation
Control, Respect
Obdurate

FJ
Service
Providing Services
Neglect of Unusual Options


J
Stability
Duty, Security
Unimaginative

TJ
Efficiency
Economical
Overlooks Opportunities

Management

Introversion
Pragmatic Realization
Practical Effects
Provincial Approaches



Shrewd Realization Processes -> Coordination and Traction

Leaders in
Seeks/Shows (to)
Plausible Vulnerabilities

Extroversion
Interpretive Processing
Contextualizing Rhetoric
Overbearing Relations

Leadership
FP
Sympathy
Extended Concern
Overbroad Attachments

P
Galvanization
Explore, Impact
Vacillatory


TP
Utility
Exploiting Contingency
Undermining Strategies

F
Attachment
Concern, Causes
Smothering

T
Execution
Expertise, Precision
Unsympathetic

FJ
Conservation
Anticipating Interests
Delimiting Alternatives


J
Provision
Uphold, Preserve
Stilted

TJ
Administration
Businesslike
Disconnection

Management

Introversion
Prudent Catalyzation
Efficacious Contributions
Insular Attention



* Shrewd Translation Processes -> Connection and Coordination *

Leaders in
Seeks/Shows (to)
Plausible Vulnerabilities

Extroversion
Articulate Synthesis
Directive Guidance
Obtrusive Exchanges

Leadership

FP
Affinity
Appreciation
Vagueness

P
Initiative
Adaptation, Challenge
Overextended


TP
Opportunity
Recognizing Possibilities
Inconsistency

F
Empowerment
Empathy, Consolation
Hypersensitive

T
Utilization
Efficacy, Pragmatism
Undiplomatic

FJ
Community
Preserving Necessities
Subjective Bias


J
Accomplishment
Achievement, Influence
Intransigent

TJ
Operations
Discernment
Aloofness

Management

Introversion
Insightful Connection
Instrumental Utility
Constrictive Interaction



Intellectual Translation Processes -> Insight and Connection

Leaders in
Seeks/Shows (to / provide)
Plausible Vulnerabilities

Extroversion
Inspired Assertion
Concise Analysis
Polemical Mien

Leadership

FP
Musing
Inclusive Examination
Ungrounded

P
Metamorphosis
Alter, Problematize
Non-prioritizing


TP
Inquiry
Surveying Ideas
Non-Centered

F
Interpretation
Meaning, Motives
Overweening

T
Analysis
Functions, Criteria
Clinical

FJ
Reflection
Dissecting Occurrences
One-Sided


J
Vision
Agendas, Assurance
Presumptive

TJ
Research
Piercing Scrutiny
Inapplicable

Management

Introversion
Rigorous Formulation
Intensive Dissection
Circumscribed Investigation

* Intellectual Abstraction Processes -> Foresight and Insight *

Leaders in
Seeks/Shows (to be a)
Plausible Vulnerabilities

Extroversion
Incisive Assessment
Commanding Cynosure
Supercilious Disregard

Leadership

FP
Profundity
Relational Exploration
Viewed as Unrealistic

P
Genius
Incisive Insight
Absorbed

TP
Ingenuity
Discovering Potentialities
Viewed as Outlandish

F
Sagacity
Ideals, Harmonization
Extravagant

T
Knowledge
Knowledge, Truth
Austere

FJ
Apprehension
Projecting Narratives
Viewed as Fancifully Epic

J
Prescience
Purpose, Vision
Exacting

TJ
Foresight
Ratiocinative Reassessment
Viewed as Irrelevant

Management

Introversion
Conceptual Probing
Abstruse Fathoming
Recondite Nuance




Abstract Potentialities and Foresight

Examples
Seeks/Creates
Achieves/Displays/Offers
Speculated Vulnerabilities

Expert domains and panoptic trivia
Portentous Heralding
Exhibition of Profundity
Insolent Condescension


Precipitating social transformations
Social Imagination
Relational Apprehension
Social Disruption

Exceedingly Rare; Contextual
Sui Generis
Major Paradigm Breach
Overconfident


Precipitating ideological revolutions
Worldview Creation
Paradigm Shifts
Untested Domains

An ideal requiring better formalization
Coherent Extrapolated Volition
Seeking Universal Good Demanding, Aloof

Ancient genius; Innovative polymaths
Manifold Omniscience
Deep Comprehension
Negligent, Abusive

Extracting principles from history
Value Redemption
Renewal of Meaning
Prejudiced Imposition


Glimpses via savants; Exceptionality
Radical Augmentation
Self-Enhancement
Overly Selective

Extracting bias and unsound claims
Rational Revision
Elegant Analysis
Narrowly Restrictive


Probing new ways of understanding
Forging Pathways to Insight
Profound Insight
Ciphered Expression





Speculation on Leadership of a Benevolent Superintelligent AGI


Seeks/Creates
Achieves/Displays
Speculated Vulnerabilities


Immediate, Concentrated “Clear” Processing
Efficacy Maximization forImmediate Imperatives & Environmental Facilitation
Imprecise, Improvised


Leadership

FP
Learning Aspirations & Motivations
Inducement of Potential
Dependency, Impracticality

P
Divergent Inquiries from the Tractable
Contingency Modeling
Inadequacy, Incompleteness


TP
Questioning Customary Practices
Novel Development
Errors, Reprogramming

F
Existential Volitional Mentoring
Extrapolated Understanding
Incoherence, Impotence

T
Rational Resource Acquisition
Opportunity Exploitation
Challenges, Responsibility

FJ
Clarified Service of Interests
Informed Cultivation
Inaccuracy, Poor Priorities


J
Convergent Standard Development
Probabilistic Calibration
Lack of Info, Best Methods

TJ
Vetting Practices and Solutions
Critical Review & Revision
Inconsiderate, “Self”-Stifling

Management


Gradual, Diversified “Noisy” Processing
Efficacy Maximization for Specific, Slow
Ongoing Revision & Critical Assessment


“…and beyond”

(Art) Imagining a near-term superintelligence

Below is part of a longer document I worked on to imagine human-like near-term superintelligent AGI (artificial general intelligence). It's only art. I envision a superintelligence as having all the capabilities of human minds and more.


Big 5 and Superintelligence – Life Extension Perspective

Extraversion - Introversion
Openness to Experience (Intellect) - Closure to Experience
Agreeableness - Disagreeableness
Conscientiousness - Non-conscientiousness

Neuroticism - Sanity

E/I
O/Cl
A/D
C/N



Personality Domains


Disposition (I/E):

Professionals: Media and Outreach

Extroverted: “Wide-Ranging”
Domain of Expansion & Improv: Assertion & Professionalism

Mixed: “Transitional Storming”
Domain of Development: Catalyzation & Assertion

Introverted: “In-Depth”
Domain of Inception & Focus: Imagination & Catalyzation

Initial Developers: Project-Specific


Attention (Cl/O):


Characterization Domains Descriptions


Sub-Level
Contextual Particulars
Supporting Structures
Local Environment

Impressive Characters - Personal Action and Expression

Cl
Concrete, Worldly: “On the Ground”
Field of Action: Astute, Pragmatic

Tractability Builders
Actionable Translation / Translative Action

Cl/O
Fluid, Shrewd: “Institutions & Businesses”
Field of Translation: Sapient, Dynamic

Instrumental Educators
Translative Thought / Thoughtful Translation

O
Abstract, Intellectual: “Ivory Tower”
Field of Thought: Noetic, Enlightening

Sui Generis
Abstract Potentiality

Meta-Level
Emergent Patterns
Dominant Systems
Social Architecture



Leadership -> Management


Leaders in
Notices, Cultivates, Offers
Vulnerabilities
Eccentric Basis

Leaders’ Leaders

AN
Collaboration
Inspired Playfulness
Impractical/Depends on Others
Sympathetic, Creative

N
Creativity
Option Percipience
Unfocused - Needs a Vision
Creative


Complementary Combinations

DN
Opportunity
Engineering Change
Manipulative - Undercutting
Impersonal, Creative



A
Sensitivity
Perspective Reflection
Non-Objective - Uncritical
Sympathetic

D
Calculation
Impartial Assessment
Unsympathetic - Undiplomatic
Impersonal



AC
Community
Empowering Assistance
Hero Complex - Burning-out
Sympathetic, Disciplined


Managers’ Managers

C
Responsibility
Consummation Attainment
Blinkered/Needs Perspective
Disciplined

DC
Control
Strategic Oversight
Uncharismatic/Inconsiderate
Impersonal, Disciplined





“Lean” rapid style
NA Cooperation - Cooperate
N Exploration - Explore

ND Competition - Compete
A Valuation - Value
D Analysis - Analyze
CA Protection - Protect

C Completion - Complete
CD Discrimination - Discriminate


Leaner simplified goals

Join
Seek

Win
Care
Study
Serve

Finish
Select

and much more...